Opta’s supercomputer gives them an 18.5% chance to win, narrowly ahead of Man City at 17.8% .
Enter the tournament riding incredible momentum—coming off a 5–0 Champions League final victory over Inter Milan on May 31 .
Real Madrid, Manchester City & Bayern Munich
Goal ranks Real Madrid, Man City, and Bayern Munich just behind PSG, solidifying the “big six” favorites .
Opta gives Bayern a 12.8%, Real Madrid 9.8%, City 17.8%, with Chelsea and Inter Milan trailing .
🥈 UEFA Big Six (Top 6)
Team Opta % Insight
PSG 18.5% Leader on paper and form
Man City 17.8% Reinforced by Rodri’s return
Bayern Munich 12.8% Bundesliga champs
Inter Milan 12.3% UCL runners‑up
Real Madrid 9.8% Five-time CWC winners
Chelsea 8.4% In the mix
🌍 Rising Teams & Dark Horses
Al‑Hilal (Saudi Pro League): Bolstered by ex-European stars; seen as a sleeper pick .
Inter Miami: Lionel Messi’s team rates low—around 20th place in Goal’s power rankings . Opta still gives them an upset chance, citing home advantage and Messi’s influence .
Brazilian heavyweights like Palmeiras, Flamengo, River Plate, and Boca Juniors also draw attention for their potential knockout threat .
🔍 Final Word
PSG commands the top spot and statistically leads the title race.
Man City, Bayern, and Real Madrid form a strong second tier.
Outside Europe, Al‑Hilal and regional powers like Palmeiras and Inter Miami have dark‑horse potential.
Messi’s Inter Miami may create moments, but overall are seen as unlikely to challenge for the trophy.
Keep an eye out for key matchups—like PSG vs. Inter Miami or Real Madrid vs. Bayern—in the knockout stages. They could reshuffle everything.